The statements made in the Forecast Report are based on our assessments of the overall economic conditions, of global copper market trends, and of Aurubis’ raw material and product markets. These assessments are based on analyses by economic research institutes, organizations, and industry associations, as well as on internal market analyses. The forecasts for the future business performance shown here take into account the segment targets, as well as the opportunities and risks posed by the expected market conditions and competitive situations in the forecast period of October 1, 2019 to September 30, 2020. The opportunities and risks affecting the Aurubis Group are explained in detail in the Risk and Opportunity Report. Our forecasts are regularly adjusted. The following statements are based on our knowledge in December 2019.
From our current perspective, there are numerous factors with the potential to influence the Aurubis Group’s markets. These include the slowdown in global economic growth and the political situation in the US, where the fiscal policies being pursued and tense trade relations with China could especially affect the markets. In China, this impacts ongoing economic growth in particular. Likewise, in Europe, monetary policy, the fiscal policy of different member states, and Brexit and its side effects could register an effect as well. Increasing protectionism around the world and the political crises in the MENA region (Middle East and North Africa) could also have a bearing on the market situation.